How do player props work in sports betting?

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A player prop is a bet on an individual player's stats instead of the game result. The most common type is an over/under on a stat line, like points, rebounds, assists, threes made, or combos like points + rebounds + assists (PRA).

Worked example:
  • Player X over 24.5 points at -115
  • He scores 25 or more → you win. 24 or fewer → you lose
  • The .5 means there's no push
  • A $23 bet at -115 wins $20 profit ($43 total back)
Other prop types you'll see: - Milestones / ladders: "20+ points," "25+ points," "30+ points," each at different odds - Yes/no props: double-double, first basket, etc. - Alt lines: a lower or higher number at different odds

What moves prop lines: - Injuries and who's sitting (more usage for the guys who play) - Minutes restrictions - Pace and matchup - Back-to-backs and late scratches

Watch out for: - Did-not-play rules. If your player doesn't suit up, many books void the prop, but rules differ by book and by when the player leaves the game. Read the house rules. - Higher juice. Props often carry more vig than spreads and totals, so line shopping matters even more here. - Injury news timing. Books can void bets placed after news broke but before they updated the line.

Do you bet NBA props more than sides and totals? Which stat markets do you think are the hardest for books to price?

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